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Richard Berner

As Washington's top risk seeker, Richard Berner crunches numbers to see around dark corners in the economy

"Here’s an experiment not to try: Drive down a country road on a moonless night and kill the headlights. Try to navigate only by the dials on your dashboard. How far do you think you’d go without crashing?

"Depends, right? On how fast you’re driving, on how sharply the road twists, on whether there are guardrails lining the shoulder. It makes a huge difference what you’ve got on your dashboard. Ideally you’d want a GPS and an array of infrared cameras. But imagine using only a speedometer.